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October 05, 2004

International Episode

spd rdr sent me this incredible WSJ piece yesterday, and it just blew me away. Not that it takes that much to blow my mind these days. At any rate, I suspect mr. rdr sends these things just to sit back and watch the inevitable implosion. The entire article is well worth reading, but it requires a subscription.

My impression actually is that people on both sides of the presidential divide are despondent about their candidate, although I am really only expert about Democrats. I am the editor in chief of a (neo) liberal weekly and live in Cambridge, Mass., where I watched last week's debate with (not neo) liberal friends. Almost no one among such supporters of John Kerry really likes him, it seems, and no one especially respects him either. But they are panicked that he will lose.
Which is why Mr. Kerry's answer to Jim Lehrer's first question last Thursday -- "Do you think you could do a better job than President Bush in preventing another 9/11-type terrorist attack on the U.S.?" -- was such a downer.
There seems to be some personal anxiety underlying almost everything Mr. Kerry thinks about U.S. foreign policy. He craves the approval of Europeans, as if he were some American arriviste right out of a Henry James novel. (Teresa is a different kind of James character. [Ed. Note: The Heiress, perhaps? thud...]) Early on in the campaign, he claimed that he had met with foreign leaders and they had told him they preferred him to Bush -- as if that were a bona fide to American voters. I can't count how many times I've heard Kerry people -- not Kerry -- tell me that the Germans and the French, the Swedes and all of the Arabs dislike Bush and want Kerry to win. So what! Or, on the other hand, maybe it is really quite telling that the Arabs so much prefer Kerry.

Once I'd gotten over the usual shock at hearing a Democrat admit this and yet lament the possibility that Kerry might lose the election, I continued reading:

In any case, he is obsessed with the United Nations and our "alliances." In something like 40 minutes of his having the microphone in the debate, Sen. Kerry alluded to the U.N., alliances, allies, and summits fully 27 separate times, about one reference to every minute-and-a-third, always charging President Bush with ignoring them. This means something, and what it means first of all is that Sen. Kerry has confidence that the U.N. (nine mentions) is still a force for good in the world. But the U.N. was designed to protect the territorial integrity of established states, to protect Poland, so to speak, from Germany or Indonesia from the Netherlands. The most disastrous wars now being waged, however, are the near-genocides within established borders, like the former Yugoslavia, Rwanda, and at this very moment in the Sudan.

This was the paragraph that brought me up short. Because to the Croissants-and-Kumbaya crowd, humanitarian crusades like Darfur which serve no discernable national security interest are the only permissable reason for military intervention. They are the Breakfast of Champions: the only Raisin D'Etre that should ever be seen on Donald Rumsfeld's breakfast table.

And they are precisely the type of crusade the UN has no interest in pursuing. With good reason. How long would the United Nations last if its charter included the ability to wantonly interfere in the internal affairs of member nations? Who would join if membership meant ceding away national sovreignty?

As the U.N. did nothing when Saddam Hussein was murdering Iraq's Kurds and Shiites in the hundreds of thousands, it has been less than passive in these cases, passing vaguely reproachful resolutions reluctantly and, in any case, without effect. (The first precedent for these refusals of responsibility was the U.N.'s siding with Nigeria against the Ibos of Biafra 45 years ago, and now you have Nigeria, a monument to brutality, corruption and religious violence, also the main power in the African Union, which is put forward as the apt gendarmerie for Darfur.) The U.N.'s very structure makes it hostage to the five permanent members of the Security Council and to their particular, often pecuniary, interests. (France holds one of these post-World War II "big power" seats only because de Gaulle persuaded Churchill and FDR to pretend that the French actually fought the Nazis. This is a seat that would more aptly be filled by India.) The very essence of the international system is very different from what it once was, and Sen. Kerry cannot or will not see it.

The author forgets that Mr. Kerry's father was a Foreign Service officer. His deference to the French is honestly come by. Surprisingly, unlike the Shrub, who has deftly played Old vs. New Europe, shuffling overseas troops deployments and thoroughly discomfiting two of the three Great Colonial powers, Kerry (the son of a FSO) shows little aptitude for the Game of Houses. If one did not know better, one might suspect a lack of nuance.

Mr. Kerry claimed in the debate that, had the U.S. gone back to the Security Council on Iraq yet again (and, presumably, again), our "allies" would have finally supported the war in Iraq. He is smoking weed. Our "allies," in this case Russia and France, were actually functional allies, really partners of the Baathist regime in Baghdad, and these two states had been mobilizing to have sanctions lifted from Saddam which they were about to succeed in doing. President Bush did not have the wit to point this out. It is true, nonetheless. And the U.N., somehow seen as a potential arbiter in Iraq, does not have the courage of well . . . those two young Italian pacifist women who were held hostage by political gangsters even though they were against the American presence. When U.N. headquarters was bombed, Kofi Annan immediately pulled his staff out and they haven't returned. He'll put them back when they are perfectly safe, which is to say when they are not needed.
There is a stifling formalism to Sen. Kerry's conception about how one does diplomacy. He likes summits (three mentions), as if they are not commonly mere stage sets for grandstanding. He also likes special envoys -- James Baker and Jimmy Carter in particular -- as if they were what was needed to restart negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians, although he did not mention this hackneyed and failed fixative on Thursday night, failed not only in the Holy Land but in Ireland, too.
Sen. Kerry is allergic to force, as we all should be, at least somewhat. [Note: Mr. Kerry has no problem with the use of force - as long as we only use it against opponents so small and powerless that victory is assured. Mr. Kerry takes Powell Doctrine to the illogical extreme. He supports use of military force to prop up a tin-pan dictator in Haiti but opposes it to remove a sadistic and brutal one in Iraq] But there are times when force is necessary, even unilateral force or force deployed by a small cohort of nations. Sen. Kerry seemed to praise Bush père for the limits he put on the ambitions of the 1991 Gulf War, that it did not target Saddam. But Sen. Kerry -- it is important to recall -- voted even against that war although it was backed by a far larger coalition of countries, many Arab states included.

Mr. Kerry seeks to lull voters into the Democratic sheepfold with the comforting illusion of a soda-pop world in which all nations will once more join hands to share a Coke and a smile. To him, it is more important to achieve consensus than to be in the right. And not just any old consensus will do -- it must be a consensus of the right people. His ability to ignore recent history (and the signals given by both France and Germany) is disturbing:

Still, Sen. Kerry promises that, if he is elected, he will be able to bring both more countries and the U.N. itself into Iraq. And what would be their motivation? To let American divisions out? This is a fantasy, like his fantasy that his found allies would also put up money for the enterprise they and he have railed against.

- Cassandra


October 5, 2004 at 09:29 AM | Permalink

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Comments

Cassandra left this out (insert before last paragraph):

Multilateralism is not a panacea in and of itself. When you are dealing with global warming, multilateralism is apt, even indispensable. Unilateralism or a small band of countries is irrelevant. But would you really have wanted the clumsy and brutal Russian army, its officers veterans of the first Afghan war, in the Iraq war? Can you imagine a French battalion under the discipline of an American commander? The fact is that there are only a few countries equipped to wage precise modern warfare, and that's another reason why some countries refuse to go to televised wars: They don't want to be exposed as being militarily obsolete.

Be still my heart. Somebody on the left has a functioning strategic brain. Sometimes you go it alone because others have too much baggage. Poland and Great Britain travel light.


Posted by: spd rdr at Oct 5, 2004 10:37:57 AM

Let's hope Oil-for-Food makes it into the electorate's consciousness in time to open their eyes before November 2. Meanwhile, I thought you might enjoy my Photoshop interpretation from awhile back of Ms. Heinz-Kerry as a Henry James heroine:

Western Europeans as elite Americans

Posted by: Sissy Willis at Oct 5, 2004 11:03:48 AM

"Grow apple trees and honey bees and snow white turtle doves...' that he will proceed to shoot and eat.

Posted by: La Femme Crickita at Oct 5, 2004 11:38:50 AM

TA DA!!!! I am number 100,000 at Jet Noise!

Posted by: spd rdr at Oct 5, 2004 11:38:53 AM

Is there a prize for the Centimillinth (using the internationally accepted metric prefixes) visitor?

Posted by: KJ at Oct 5, 2004 12:44:44 PM

Speaking of prizes, how many caption contest results do we have outstanding right now?

Posted by: KJ at Oct 5, 2004 12:55:48 PM

It is interesting to hear the point of view that both sides are a bit disappointed with their candidates. I thought a lot of Bushies were still ecstatic about him. I'm not ecstatic about Kerry but I believe him pretty credible. I was a Dean supporter initially but was a bit concerned that Dean as a small-state governor, would go to Washington and get trashed by the DC establishment, like Carter did. Kerry won't let that happen to him. He's been there for 20 years.

If I thought my candidate was going to be a failure, I'd prefer to see Bush win. A partisan Democrat doesn't want a Democratic president to be a failure. It's better to sit back and blame it on the Republicans.

If Bush were to get re-elected, to avoid ending up the miserable failure that Gephart accused him of being, he will have to change his ways. Winning the election could give him political capital to do this. Bush ought to:

(1) Assert himself and fire anybody that's incompetent or who has presided over failures. Call for accoutability. Fire Rummy, Condi, Ashcroft. Tenet's already gone.

(2) Hold more press conferences. Admit to mistakes. Insulating Bush from tough questions or criticisms, does neither he nor the public any service. One reason he did badly in the debate is, he's just out of practice. If he could defend his record the way Tony Blair does, he'd be a lot more broadly appealing and would be strengthened among independents and moderate Democrats. Bush was much more articluate as Texas governor than he is now. Why? Because he didn't live in a protective bubble.

(3) Raise taxes across the board. We're at war. Make people put up or shut up for their country. Use the money to beef up the efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan as much as necessary. Half-measures will not pull out a success in either country. Explain to people the necessity for sacrifice. Don't just tell us to go shopping.

(4) Go in a back room and twist Sharon's arm. Hard. Send Jim Baker to do it if necessary. Do the same thing to Arafat. Give them both a worst-case scenario and mean it. Then go out and make happy for the press and present a new agreement. Keep up the pressure.

A few ideas there.

good credible points made in this piece, at least the excerpted parts (I don't have the WSJ subscription). I won't really argue with the relative fecklessness of the UN in dealing with brutal governments or civil wars.

It is evident that some international arrangements need to be better put together to respond to the new framework. It may be time to break out of the Post-WW2 frame and realize that the First World at large, Europe (old and new) plus Japan must bear a larger responsibility for keeping the peace. This will require the cheese-eating etc. step up to the plate and increase military spending. I've believed this was necessary for a long time.

I don't think Kerry worships the UN, I believe he would try to use it and NATO as best he could. I hope that he would push these institutions toward renegotiating their mandates, particularly NATO, which I think would be receptive. Unlike Kerry, I don't expect much help on Iraq, because it is perceived as FUBAR.

Bush's approach is different: Sort like in Iraq, just skip the talking, trash the institution and see if it can be rebuilt later. Maybe this will work better. Time will tell.

Of course the US couldn't do anything in Darfur if we wanted to. No troops.

Posted by: Al Peck at Oct 5, 2004 1:03:59 PM

1) ...Fire Rummy, Condi, Ashcroft. Tenet's already gone.

I don't disagree generally, though we might disagree about what is a failure. But I don't think Condi is to blame for the military criticisms, even if they are valid. Why Ashcroft? What has failed under his watch? The left uses him for hype (and I don't really like the guy that much), but what facts support it? None. He had fewer real factually based controversies in 4 years than Reno had every 6 months.

(2) Hold more press conferences. Fine with me.

Admit to mistakes. Fine, but only the real ones.

Be more like Blair? Fine with me.

(3) Raise taxes across the board.

Why? Would it increase revenues? Maybe not, if the economy contracted b/c of the increase. Taxes up do not mean revenues up. This is were the left just doesn't get it Al.

(4) Go in a back room and twist Sharon's arm. Hard. Send Jim Baker to do it if necessary. Do the same thing to Arafat.

Sure, but then what when terrorists attack Isreal and Isreal attacks back? We can't solve this without someone achieving total victory.

Posted by: KJ at Oct 5, 2004 1:14:15 PM

KJ, you may bite me... that's the prize.

There is only one caption contest unjudged. The young judge I was going to use caught the eye of the VP - he is working O/T on a big project this week and is unavailable.

I will rope a judge in - I have been unusually busy at work, my pool of judges isn't really all that big, and frankly I have been otherwise engaged during the evening hours, my spousal unit just having returned from a long absence.

Posted by: Cassandra at Oct 5, 2004 2:08:20 PM

Well anyhoo, 100,000 is a milestone of epic proportions. Congratulations Mr. rdr, you never cease to amaze.

Drinks are on me, after work that is.

Posted by: Pile On® at Oct 5, 2004 2:14:33 PM

Maybe after the VP finishes his debate tonight the caption contest judge will have some free time.

Posted by: Pile On® at Oct 5, 2004 2:21:09 PM

Here's my dilemma:
VP Debate v. AL Playoffs game 1.
Dr. Stoic v. Breck Girl or Schilling v. Washburn
Screaming at the TV or Screaming at the TV.

Any suggestions?

Posted by: spd rdr at Oct 5, 2004 2:54:43 PM

Yeah - here are a few: (1) scream at the TV, (2) Tivo (3) VCR (4) DVD-R (5) watch the game and read the transcript of the debate tomorrow.

Cass,

That is a grand prize indeed. I can't wait to collect. Can Pay Pal do that?

Posted by: KJ at Oct 5, 2004 3:14:02 PM

Or the sixth: Let Cass scream at the TV and Pile On blog on it. The debate, not the screaming. I will not have my satellite installed until this thursday, too late for me to enjoy the fun and games...due to a really crappy attitude on the part of dish network about me and my social security number.

"You don't need to see her social security number. Her credit history is fine. Give her the account." said in a Jedi like tone of voice.

Did I give it to them? NO. They got the address and my name and a previous addy. I will now have dish network and so will be more au courant. I can't WAIT! It has been
over 18 months since we had satellite...and this time I will have control! MUWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

Posted by: La Femme Crickita at Oct 5, 2004 3:20:46 PM

Pile, so sorry to disappoint but the Unit was making noises about taking me to dinner before th debates and that very likely means we will be otherwise engaged after the debates, both of us being creatures of habit and certain things having been sorely neglected for the past few weeks while he was playing in the sand.

Practice makes perfect.

Posted by: Cassandra at Oct 5, 2004 3:26:40 PM

Watch the game.

The Republic will survive.

Posted by: Cassandra at Oct 5, 2004 3:28:18 PM

I wonder how yo blog a baseball game?

Garcia steps to the plate.

He's scratching himself.

Garcia looks towards third base where the coach is flapping his arms like a demented goose.

Garcia steps into the batters box.

Time out is called for a beachball on the field.

Garcia is still scratching himself as he steps up to the plate.

Kornblow gets the signal.

He gets set.

He's into the wind-up.

Low and outside. Ball 1.

Garcia scratches himself.

zzzzzzzz........

Posted by: spd rdr at Oct 5, 2004 3:29:36 PM

Wow, good stuff.

Posted by: Jane at Oct 5, 2004 3:32:51 PM

KJ.....

You have no idea.

Posted by: Cassandra at Oct 5, 2004 3:32:59 PM

FWIW--
As I was driving thru the canyon headed over to the Western Slope last Friday, I had the radio on and on either ABC or CBS news the comment made by a spokesperson for European leaders--- in response to the debate (and Kerry's European approval addiction) was [near verbatim] that France and Germany (specifically) simply don't want to be bothered by Kerry now seeking their alliance re: Iraq and the war on terror. They are just NOT interested. He WON'T be able to convince them. She went on to say, those leaders find themselves now preferring Bush be re-elected.

[sorry, no specs on the Euro spokesperson being quoted]

Posted by: CKC at Oct 5, 2004 3:34:58 PM

re: how do you blog a baseball game..

Exactly...

[paint on the side of the dugout dries, cracks, and falls off...]

[grass grows...]

[several people grow old and die... :)]

Or... you can watch people torture the poor, benighted Midwestern Corked Bat...

Mr. Lee:

I will not challenge you on your calculations, which I am sure are impeccable and far superior to anything I could even attempt. I must, however, question your empathy -- in fact, I question the empathy of everyone who has posted on this thread.

I do NOT understand how you people can turn a deaf ear to the pitiful supersonic squeaks of the Endangered Midwestern Corked Bat.

Just listen to a few examples of how Edward Lee and his Physics-spouting ilk would treat this poor creature:

If a 32 ounce bat is shaved down to 30 ounces by corking...

OUCH! SHAVED BATS - YOU PEOPLE ARE BARBARIANS!

...imagine swinging at the bat with a huge pillow. Now the collision has almost zero elasticity, but the time of contact will be large. The bat will sink into the pillow, and you and the pillow will probably be knocked back from the momentum of the bat. If you are strong enough, you may be able to maintain your swing and get the pillow and the bat moving forward again, but the bat probably isn't going to fly very far.

I SHOULD SAY NOT! How far would YOU fly after being swung at by a GIANT PILLOW???

...corking a bat actually takes some distance off the struck ball. The bat moves faster, but the cork dampens some of the impact.

WELL THANK GOD FOR THE TENDER MERCIES OF SRG...

I'd guess that the elasticity of a corked bat is less than that of a wooden bat, since it's less dense*....It's really hard to tell without a lot of experimental evidence.

*Oh, so you admit Corked Bats are smarter...

SURE - FINE - GO AHEAD...EXPERIMENT AWAY ON THE POOR DEFENSELESS CORKED BAT... JUST REMEMBER TO WATCH YOUR BACK THE NEXT TIME YOU STEP INTO AN ABANDONED BULLPEN.

As the bat is whipping around home plate, the hands stay mostly still. Only the bat is changing its angle. The bat is about 34 inches, or 2.83 feet long.

GREAT - IN YOUR SOULLESS QUEST FOR BAT ELASTICITY, YOU HAVE MANAGED TO STRETCH THIS POOR FELLOW OUT TO 3 TIMES HIS ORIGINAL LENGTH, AND NOW YOU HAVE HIM "WHIPPING AROUND HOME PLATE"...IS THERE NO END TO YOUR CRUELTY???

I must say, the lack of sensitivity on this issue is a big disappointment to me and my furry friends.

Shame - shame on you Mr. Lee.


ps: I forgot - click on my name in the previous post to confront the victim of your nefarious bat-schemes.

pps: Yaksun:

a) Cassandra, you are my intellectual idol

***Ah, but I must defer to Mr. Lee on the subject of physics and to everyone else on most other topics. In the field of BS, on the other hand, I am the Queen. :)

b) Edward Lee: Lighten up, it's baseball

***Mr. Lee, I am only ragging on you because you know too much. Tomorrow during Happy Hour on ScrappleFace, we'll raise a beer to each other, to you, Yaksun and the ever-persuasive tom (please make peace) and to finding WMD in Iraq so we can argue about something else.

Now I must get some work done or I will be up all night finishing it...

Posted by: Cassandra at Oct 5, 2004 3:41:47 PM

Whoops... I was supposed to cut that last part out.

Lack of sleep... sigh... At least we're no longer arguing about WMD.

Posted by: Cassandra at Oct 5, 2004 3:44:27 PM

Cass,
Have a rip snortin' good time at dinner and the dessert. That was always the best part of reunions. I am glad he is safe and sound.
Will we be wearing a silly grin on our lovely face tomorrow?

Posted by: La Femme Crickita at Oct 5, 2004 3:50:35 PM

Pile On,

I had to settle for Game 2 tickets (the 50% investor in our season ticket package got all of Game 1). I'll be the guy grabbing the foul ball about 10 rows behind the third base dougout.

The key to Game 1: Shut out Houston -- let Clemons shut out the Braves for 8 innings. After the pinch hitter takes Clemons out, win it off the closer in the ninth.

The key to beating the Cubs? Oh, never mind.

Posted by: KJ at Oct 5, 2004 3:51:04 PM

We certainly hope so.

Posted by: Cassandra at Oct 5, 2004 4:25:40 PM

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